TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 8:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses various scoring thresholds for the first quarter of a college football game between Missouri and Arkansas. Participants predict whether the combined points scored by both teams will exceed specific numerical values during that initial period.
The market resolves based on the total points scored by both teams in the first quarter of the Missouri vs Arkansas college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each outcome represents a different scoring threshold, resolving to 'Yes' if the combined points exceed the specified value. Only points scored during the first quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, potentially leading to more efficient pricing. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets react more quickly to new information and may offer a different perspective than what’s available at sportsbooks, though discrepancies can occur due to differing user bases and motivations.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point total scored in the first quarter of the Missouri versus Arkansas football game will determine whether the 'yes' or 'no' outcome prevails. The official scorekeeping of the game serves as the basis for resolution. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the official score is finalized.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. News regarding key player injuries for either Missouri or Arkansas would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest heavy rain or strong winds, could also shift the market as these conditions often affect scoring. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team lineups could also cause price fluctuations. Finally, any significant public betting activity or shifts in sentiment expressed through social media could contribute to movement in this market.