TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 11:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Missouri or Arkansas will win their college football game scheduled for October 30, 2026. Currently, the probability of Missouri winning on Kalshi is 99.0%, while Arkansas winning is at 2.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Missouri vs Arkansas college football game, as determined by the game’s official result. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if Arkansas wins the contest originally scheduled for October 30, 2026, and will be settled by October 31, 2026.
The market resolves depending on which team wins the Missouri vs Arkansas college football game scheduled for October 30, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market stays open and resolves based on the official final result. Should the game be cancelled or not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi notes it is not endorsed by or connected to the NCAA, and all trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of the prediction market. It’s common to see this market adjust more rapidly to new information than sportsbook lines, as traders react quickly to any relevant news or developments surrounding the Missouri-Arkansas game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the most accurate prediction possible. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the potential results of the Missouri-Arkansas game. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Missouri-Arkansas game as officially recorded by the governing sports organization. The specific details of the game's outcome will be used to determine which contracts pay out, and at what value. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the results have been verified.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market leading up to Oct 31, 2026. Key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or significant weather forecasts could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news regarding team morale or performance, as well as public opinion shifts, can also drive price fluctuations. Any developments that alter the perceived probability of either team winning the Missouri-Arkansas game are likely to be reflected in the market prices. Monitoring these signals can help traders make informed decisions.