TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 10:48 PM EST
Polymarket
Exact margin markets for Missouri State vs. Delaware.
Exact margin markets for Missouri State vs. Delaware.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may present an arbitrage opportunity for informed traders. However, it’s important to remember that both prediction markets and sportsbooks are attempting to forecast the same event, and their odds can converge as the event approaches and more information is factored in by both groups.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the final point margin. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that specific margin occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective intelligence of the traders participating. Higher demand for shares indicating a specific margin will drive up its price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point margin of the Missouri State vs. Delaware game will be used to determine the winning shares. The official result, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be the basis for settlement. Traders holding shares corresponding to the correct margin will receive a payout, while those holding shares representing incorrect margins will not. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Missouri State or Delaware would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might cause traders to reassess their predictions. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also contribute to price movements in this market, though the market is not necessarily correlated with those sources.