TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 10:47 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether a pick-six will be scored in the Missouri State versus Delaware college football game. Currently, the consensus probability of a pick-six being scored is 100.0%, as aggregated from Predict and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on official NCAA game results, as reported on NCAA.com. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 20th, as the outcome of this market will be determined by events during that contest.
In the upcoming college football game between Missouri State and Delaware, scheduled for October 20 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Missouri State" if Missouri State win the game. This market will resolve to "Delaware" if Delaware win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Missouri State and Delaware, scheduled for October 20 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Missouri State" if Missouri State win the game. This market will resolve to "Delaware" if Delaware win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the aggregate beliefs of informed traders. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, particularly when a significant amount of volume is traded. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction, allowing for real-time adjustments based on new information. This dynamic pricing contrasts with the fixed odds typically offered by sportsbooks, potentially revealing different perspectives on the likely result of the Missouri State vs. Delaware game.
Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict for this market can arise due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and information sets, influencing their trading decisions. Furthermore, the liquidity and trading volume on each platform can differ, leading to price variations. Market-specific factors, such as differing interpretations of team news or statistical data, may also contribute to these divergences. These differences highlight the dynamic nature of prediction markets and the value of cross-platform analysis.