TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Missouri State Bears vs. Florida International Golden Panthers
Volume:
$635,220
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Missouri State Bears and Florida International Golden Panthers scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets cover the moneyline (winner), multiple point spreads, and total points over/under.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (FIU win and Missouri State win) are specified to resolve to Yes, leaving no valid resolution path for a No outcome. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract.Hero Tip:
The Polymarket suite (moneyline, spreads, totals) is logically sound and uses consistent final-score-inclusive-of-overtime resolution. Treat Kalshi as having a critical data integrity failure until the platform clarifies whether the Yes/No mapping was intended or if additional outcome states exist. Do not risk capital on Kalshi until this is resolved.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to the winning team name. Spreads resolve based on margin (FIU -3.5 requires 4+ point win; FIU -4.5 requires 5+ point win). Totals resolve Over if combined score is 156+, Under if less. All use final score including overtime. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50.
- Kalshi: Binary market states: 'If Florida International wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Missouri St. wins... resolves to Yes'. Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to Yes, leaving no logical path to No resolution. This is a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.