TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 9:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various scoring thresholds for both teams in an upcoming college football game. Each threshold represents a different level of performance, allowing participants to speculate on how high or low the scoring might be for each team. The outcomes are determined by the actual points scored during the game.
The event consists of multiple markets, each evaluating whether a specific team scores over a designated point threshold in a college football game between Missouri State and Western Kentucky, scheduled for October 8, 2026. Each market has a primary rule that resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team exceeds the set point threshold. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. These rules ensure that participants can account for potential game delays while maintaining transparency and fairness in resolving outcomes based on actual performance.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own independent beliefs about the likely outcome. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the team totals. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that total occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price discovery process is driven by supply and demand, with buyers pushing prices up and sellers pushing them down, reflecting the evolving expectations of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Missouri State and Western Kentucky will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on whether the actual team totals fall above or below the contract values traded on Kalshi. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, reflecting the actual results of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or significant shifts in team performance could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-game analysis from prominent sports commentators could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi themselves can create momentum and drive price movements, as traders react to the actions of others in the market.