TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 10:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Western Kentucky will win its college football game against Missouri State. Currently, Kalshi gives Western Kentucky an 88.0% probability of winning, while Missouri State is at 13.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky game originally scheduled for October 8, 2026, as reported by the game’s official result. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves the day after the scheduled fixture date of October 8, 2026, to determine the winner.
The market resolves to Yes for the specified team if they win the game as scheduled. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are often set by analysts aiming to balance action and ensure profitability, while this market is driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. As a result, you may find that this market’s implied probabilities diverge from sportsbook lines, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to observe differences, especially closer to the event date.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Missouri St. vs Western Kentucky game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances once resolution is complete. The platform will determine the winning contract based on the official game results, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Key injuries to star players on either the Missouri St. or Western Kentucky teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected team performance in preceding games could also move the market. Additionally, any news regarding player availability, weather conditions, or significant shifts in public perception could lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.