TOTAL VOLUME:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 10:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football game between Mississippi State and Texas. It focuses solely on performance during the last 15 minutes of regulation time, ignoring any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on who holds the scoring advantage in that specific segment of play.
If Texas wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Mississippi St. vs Texas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mississippi St. wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Mississippi St. vs Texas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Mississippi St. vs Texas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own information and beliefs. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing a team’s chances, the odds here will adjust accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before major events or when new information emerges, as traders factor in unique insights not captured by traditional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and the implied probability of that team winning rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their views, creating a constantly evolving price discovery process.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team leading at the end of the 4th quarter of the Mississippi State vs Texas game will be declared the winner. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Mississippi State or Texas teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts impacting the game, or even unexpected pre-game announcements could also shift the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, as traders react to evolving narratives surrounding the game and adjust their positions accordingly.