TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 10:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in a specific quarter of a college football game between Mississippi State and Texas. It provides a way to speculate on short-term performance during the third quarter of the matchup. The outcome depends solely on the points scored in that quarter, regardless of the overall game result.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points in the third quarter of the Mississippi State vs Texas college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. If Texas scores more points in that quarter, the Texas market resolves to Yes. If Mississippi State scores more points, its market resolves to Yes. If both teams score the same number of points, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which may be influenced by factors like public perception or early betting action. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profit, while this market is driven purely by individuals predicting the outcome. If a significant amount of money is wagered on a particular outcome, the odds will shift accordingly. It's common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks in response to new information or changing sentiment surrounding the Mississippi State vs Texas game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place orders, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the 3rd quarter winner. The current top outcome, according to Kalshi, is a 3rd quarter tie, though the chance percentage is not currently available. The volume traded provides insight into how confident traders are in each potential result.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the 3rd quarter of the Mississippi State vs Texas game, as officially recorded by the game's governing body, will determine the settlement of this market. The resolution will be based on the official game results and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Mississippi State or Texas teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the game's style of play, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first and second quarters could lead to adjustments in trader sentiment and, consequently, the market prices. Unexpected strategic decisions by either coaching staff could also introduce volatility into this market.