TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 9:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second quarter of a college football game between Mississippi State and Texas. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory, allowing participants to bet on whether the winning team will exceed that margin during that specific quarter.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the Mississippi St. vs Texas college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team achieves a point differential exceeding the specified threshold for that market during that quarter. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome or a potential arbitrage opportunity. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an event occurring.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the second quarter of the Mississippi State vs Texas game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the official result, as reported by a trusted source covering college football. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those on incorrect spreads will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Mississippi State or Texas teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could shift the market’s perception of the likely outcome. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators can also play a role.