TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 2:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold for a team's performance, allowing participants to speculate on various scoring outcomes.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals for each team in the Mississippi St. vs LSU college football game scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these contingency conditions.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives that traditional sportsbooks might miss. While sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk assessment, this market allows anyone to trade contracts based on their own analysis. This can lead to differences in probabilities, as prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate than traditional odds, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It's common to see convergence between the two as kickoff nears.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the team totals. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. The current price is determined by the highest bid and lowest ask that are matched in the order book, ensuring a fair and transparent trading environment.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals for the Mississippi State vs LSU game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official statistics reported by the governing body of college football. The platform will then determine which contracts payout based on whether the actual team totals exceeded or fell short of the contract’s specified value. Traders will receive their payouts shortly after the official results are confirmed.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Mississippi State or LSU would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the expected scoring totals. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, as the game draws closer, any shifts in public perception or betting activity at sportsbooks could influence trading activity on Kalshi.