TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 2:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential between Mississippi State and LSU specifically during the third quarter of their college football game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which either team must win that quarter to settle the outcome.
These markets resolve based on the point differential in the third quarter of the Mississippi State vs LSU college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the specified team must win the third quarter by exceeding the stated point margin. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these outcomes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome or potentially highlight an opportunity for arbitrage. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the third quarter of the Mississippi State vs LSU game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders who correctly predicted the third-quarter spread will receive a payout based on the final price of their contracts at the time of resolution. The market will close prior to the end of the game to prevent manipulation.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Mississippi State or LSU teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions that favor one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment, could all contribute to fluctuations in the price of contracts within this market.