TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in a specific segment of a college football game between Mississippi State and LSU. It tracks performance during the second quarter of play, reflecting a detailed analysis of in-game momentum and scoring trends.
The market resolves based on which team scores the most points during the second quarter of the Mississippi State vs. LSU college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. If LSU scores more points in that quarter, the market resolves to Yes for LSU. If Mississippi State scores more points, the market resolves to Yes for Mississippi State. If both teams score an equal number of points, the market resolves to Yes for the Tie outcome. Postponements are accounted for: if the game starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains active and resolves based on the actual second-quarter result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under varying scheduling circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it might indicate that prediction market traders have access to, or place greater weight on, information not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook odds. However, as the event approaches, these odds tend to converge as more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the market. Higher demand for a particular outcome will drive up its price, while increased selling pressure will lower it. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the second quarter of the Mississippi St vs LSU game will be declared the winner of this market. Official game statistics and results will be used to determine the winning team. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Kalshi and the results are officially confirmed.
Several factors could influence the movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Mississippi St. or LSU would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions leading up to the game could influence trader sentiment. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could also move this market as traders react to new information.