TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 3:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various thresholds of points scored in the second half of a college football game between Mississippi State and LSU. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity that bettors can evaluate.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the second half (including overtime) of the designated game. For any market, if the combined second-half points exceed the specified threshold, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve at a fair price, reflecting the uncertainty of an unplayed game. All markets are independent, each tied to a specific numerical threshold for second-half scoring.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, and may be influenced by promotional considerations or liability management. This market, however, is driven purely by individuals trading on their beliefs about the outcome, creating a potentially more accurate reflection of true probabilities. While sportsbook odds may initially differ, they often converge as more information becomes available and the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the expected 2nd half total for the Mississippi St vs LSU game. The market depth indicates the level of agreement or disagreement among traders.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Mississippi St or LSU would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also shift the market. Additionally, in-game performance during the first half, such as a dominant offensive showing by one team, could lead to adjustments in trader sentiment and, consequently, the price of contracts in this market. Public betting trends and expert analysis may also play a role.