TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 4:26 PM EST
Kalshi
For the Brasileiro Serie A encounter between Mirassol and Sao Paulo on October 24, 2026, this event determines if both teams find the back of the net at least once during the match's regular duration. Only goals scored in the 90 minutes plus stoppage time count, with own goals counted for the team awarded the goal.
If Mirassol and Sao Paulo both score a goal in the Mirassol vs Sao Paulo Brasileiro Serie A match originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates insights from individuals with varying levels of knowledge. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, potential injuries, or even less quantifiable factors. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the likelihood of both teams scoring in the Mirassol vs Sao Paulo match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. Higher prices indicate greater confidence in 'Yes' (both teams to score), while lower prices suggest the opposite.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Mirassol and Sao Paulo score at least one goal during the scheduled match. The final score will be sourced from official match data and widely available sports news outlets. Traders holding contracts on Kalshi will be paid out or have their contracts settled based on the verified result of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Oct 24, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Mirassol or Sao Paulo would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, potentially affecting the style of play, could contribute to price movements. Unexpected tactical decisions announced by either manager could also cause fluctuations in this market.