TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 9:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming Brazilian Serie A soccer match between Mirassol and Internacional. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the anticipated offensive performance of both teams within the standard match duration.
The event determines whether more than a specified number of goals are scored during the Mirassol vs Internacional professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 16, 2026. Resolution is based solely on goals scored within the 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, with extra time and penalty kicks excluded. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of total goals (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5), where exceeding that threshold results in a 'Yes' outcome. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on models and public perception, while this market allows individuals to trade on their own informed opinions. As more information becomes available—such as team news or weather forecasts—the prices here can adjust more rapidly than traditional odds, potentially offering a more accurate reflection of the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events influencing the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes in the Mirassol vs Internacional match. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices fluctuate based on supply and demand; if many traders believe a certain outcome is likely, they will buy contracts representing that outcome, driving up the price. Conversely, if traders believe an outcome is unlikely, they will sell, lowering the price.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Mirassol vs Internacional match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total goals scored in the match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will reflect the official result as reported by the governing football authorities, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Mirassol or Internacional would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the playing style or scoring opportunities, could also move the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team formations or tactical adjustments, or even significant pre-match analysis from reputable sources, could influence traders' perceptions and shift the prices in this market.