TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 9:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Mirassol and Internacional, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. The match is part of the Brasileiro Serie A league and follows standard soccer timing rules.
The event evaluates different goal-differential thresholds for determining a winning outcome in the Mirassol vs Internacional match scheduled for October 16, 2026. All markets resolve based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Mirassol wins by more than 2.5 goals, Mirassol wins by more than 1.5 goals, Internacional wins by more than 1.5 goals, or Internacional wins by more than 2.5 goals. The rules explicitly state that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows traders to express their own views, leading to odds that may diverge from sportsbook lines as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage or informed betting, depending on your assessment of the event.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread of the Mirassol vs Internacional match, as determined by official sources, will be used to determine winning contracts. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift market sentiment. Furthermore, updates on team form, tactical adjustments, or even pre-match interviews with key players could also impact trading activity. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns or expert analysis, could also contribute to price movements in this market.