TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 9:08 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two teams competing in a professional football league. The outcome depends on whether both teams manage to score a goal during the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee. This determines the resolution of certain betting conditions tied to the game's scoring events.
If Mirassol and Internacional both score a goal in the Mirassol vs Internacional Brasileiro Serie A match originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals expressing their beliefs through trades. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise in assessing the range of possible outcomes and identifying potential value, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Mirassol vs Internacional match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price goes up, indicating increasing confidence in a 'Yes' outcome, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity provide insights into the overall sentiment surrounding this match.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Mirassol vs Internacional match is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both teams have scored at least one goal during the regular 90 minutes of play, plus any added injury time, as determined by official match statistics. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered for the purposes of determining the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Mirassol or Internacional would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also play a role. Additionally, any pre-match analysis from respected soccer commentators suggesting a high or low-scoring affair could shift trader sentiment and therefore the price of contracts in this market.