TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 9:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Mirassol will win their professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game against Internacional. Currently, Kalshi gives Mirassol a win probability of 89.5%, while a tie is priced at 10%. The market resolves based on the result of the match originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by the official game results. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on October 16, 2026, as that will begin the event window for determining the outcome of this market.
The event resolves based on the result of the Mirassol vs Internacional professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Mirassol wins, the 'Mirassol' market resolves to Yes; if Internacional wins, the 'Internacional' market resolves to Yes; if the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately assess the probability of each outcome. As a result, you may find that the implied probabilities from Kalshi diverge from traditional sportsbook offerings, especially as new information becomes available and more traders participate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume provide insights into the level of confidence traders have in each possibility. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Mirassol vs Internacional match, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The platform will then process the results and distribute payouts to contract holders accordingly. It’s important to monitor official announcements regarding the match to understand the basis for resolution. Traders should review the platform's guidelines for further details on the resolution process.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift the odds. Match previews, expert analysis, and even weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of buy or sell orders – can quickly move the market price. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments surrounding the Mirassol vs Internacional match is crucial for making informed trading decisions.