TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

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Kalshi:

63%

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Mirassol FC vs. São Paulo FC - First Team to Score
polymarket

What team will score first?

Volume:
$110

Mirassol FC

 - Polymarket

Mirassol FC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 24, 2026

Closed: Oct 24, 8:39 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Mirassol FC

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

São Paulo FC

0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

In the upcoming match between Mirassol FC and São Paulo FC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mirassol FC" if Mirassol FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "São Paulo FC" if São Paulo FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Mirassol FC and São Paulo FC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mirassol FC" if Mirassol FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "São Paulo FC" if São Paulo FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Mirassol vs. São Paulo match tracks the current odds of each team scoring first, along with the total volume traded in this market. You can also view the price history to see how the probabilities have shifted over time. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $110, and the total volume traded to date is $110. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets, offering insights into the perceived likelihood of each outcome in this contest.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each team scoring first. If a significant amount of money is wagered on one outcome, the odds will adjust accordingly, potentially moving further away from, or closer to, traditional sportsbook lines. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes as more information becomes available and more traders participate.

This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Mirassol FC versus São Paulo FC match. The official match records will serve as the source for determining the winning outcome. Any potential disputes will be evaluated based on publicly available and verifiable information regarding the game’s events, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process.

Several factors could influence the odds of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Mirassol FC or São Paulo FC would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, such as recent wins or losses, and tactical adjustments announced by the managers could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators, could shift the perceived probabilities. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of either team scoring first has the potential to move this market.