TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 8:39 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Mirassol FC and São Paulo FC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mirassol FC" if Mirassol FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "São Paulo FC" if São Paulo FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Mirassol FC and São Paulo FC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mirassol FC" if Mirassol FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "São Paulo FC" if São Paulo FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each team scoring first. If a significant amount of money is wagered on one outcome, the odds will adjust accordingly, potentially moving further away from, or closer to, traditional sportsbook lines. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes as more information becomes available and more traders participate.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Mirassol FC versus São Paulo FC match. The official match records will serve as the source for determining the winning outcome. Any potential disputes will be evaluated based on publicly available and verifiable information regarding the game’s events, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process.
Several factors could influence the odds of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Mirassol FC or São Paulo FC would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, such as recent wins or losses, and tactical adjustments announced by the managers could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators, could shift the perceived probabilities. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of either team scoring first has the potential to move this market.