TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 8:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Saturday, October 24, 2026 between Mirassol FC and São Paulo FC.
This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Saturday, October 24, 2026 between Mirassol FC and São Paulo FC.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s prices are determined by supply and demand. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome, they can express that view by trading on Polymarket, potentially causing the prediction market odds to diverge from those offered elsewhere. This dynamic can lead to more accurate probabilities as the event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of different outcomes. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who buy shares in a particular outcome, the higher its price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s potential results, based on the information available to traders.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mirassol FC vs. São Paulo FC match, as reported by official sports sources. The market will determine which outcome—a win for Mirassol, a win for São Paulo, or a draw—actually occurred during the match. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final, verified result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Weather conditions on match day, and even pre-match analysis from sports commentators, could also sway trader sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades by influential participants on Polymarket could create short-term price fluctuations, reflecting a change in overall market opinion regarding the Mirassol vs. São Paulo match.