TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 11:08 PM EST
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Friday, October 16, 2026 between Mirassol FC and SC Internacional.
This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Friday, October 16, 2026 between Mirassol FC and SC Internacional.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probability of an event occurring, as determined by traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into where the crowd believes the value lies in this market, compared to professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all traders on Polymarket, and is influenced by factors such as team form, injuries, and recent results.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mirassol FC vs. SC Internacional match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Mirassol FC or SC Internacional would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, unexpected results in other matches, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, major tactical announcements from either team’s coach could shift expectations and lead to price adjustments. Monitoring sports news and analysis will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts.