TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Mirassol FC vs. Coritiba FBC
Volume:
$193,435
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Brazilian Série A soccer match between Mirassol FC and Coritiba FBC scheduled for March 18, 2026. Markets span multiple outcome types: total goals scored, match result (win/draw), and specific team victory conditions, with resolution based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi presents four overlapping total goals markets with independent thresholds that create logical redundancy. Polymarket's draw market contains a non-standard cancellation resolution (Yes if canceled) that diverges from Coritiba and Mirassol win markets (No if canceled).Hero Tip:
On Kalshi, understand that a 5-goal match resolves Yes on all four markets simultaneously. On Polymarket, the draw market is the only one that benefits from cancellation; if the match is canceled, back the draw. Always cross-check final score via CBF.com.br within 2 hours of match end to avoid settlement disputes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Four independent total goals markets (>1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5) all reference the same match and 90+stoppage window. All resolve Yes if collective goals exceed threshold. Creates logical nesting where higher thresholds subsume lower ones, but each market trades independently. Key quote: 'If Coritiba and Mirassol collectively score more than [X] total goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three match outcome markets (draw, Mirassol win, Coritiba win) use standard 90+stoppage resolution and CBF official sources. Draw market uniquely resolves Yes if match is canceled with no makeup; win markets resolve No if canceled. Key quote for draw: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.' Win markets state: 'this market will resolve No' under cancellation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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