TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Winnipeg team will win its National Hockey League game against Minnesota. Currently, Kalshi gives Winnipeg a 92.0% probability of winning, while Minnesota is at 9.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Minnesota vs Winnipeg NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026, as determined by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Winnipeg wins the match scheduled to conclude by October 14, 2026.
The market resolves based on the winner of the Minnesota vs Winnipeg NHL game scheduled for October 13, 2026. If Minnesota wins, the Minnesota market resolves to Yes; if Winnipeg wins, the Winnipeg market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often include a 'vig' or commission built into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, being driven by individual traders, aims to reflect the true probabilities as perceived by the crowd. However, discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, potentially offering value for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Minnesota vs Winnipeg game. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract that pays out if their predicted outcome happens.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Minnesota vs Winnipeg game as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it approaches the resolution date to understand any potential factors that might influence the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team performance or key player availability would likely cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also influence the market. Monitoring these factors closely will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market effectively.