TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming NHL game between Minnesota and Washington. It focuses on how many goals the winning team scores beyond its opponent, with different thresholds defining various outcomes. The event captures the competitive balance and performance disparity between the two teams on game day.
All markets resolve based on the official result of the Minnesota vs Washington NHL game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, evaluating different goal-differential thresholds for each team’s potential victory. If Washington wins by more than 2.5 goals, the first market resolves to Yes; if it wins by more than 1.5 goals, the second market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Minnesota wins by more than 1.5 goals, the third market resolves to Yes, and if it wins by more than 2.5 goals, the fourth market resolves to Yes. Postponements that commence within 48 hours of the original start time do not affect market resolution, which remains tied to the final confirmed result. However, if the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of schedule changes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can lead to differences, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Often, prediction markets are considered more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, as they incentivize participants to be well-informed and make rational assessments. However, sportsbook odds remain a popular benchmark for comparison.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official point spread of the game between Minnesota and Washington, as determined by official league sources. The market will settle to 100 if Washington wins by more than the spread, and 0 if Minnesota wins by more than the spread, with a linear interpolation in between. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Nov 2, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either team would likely have a significant impact, as would any major changes in coaching strategy or team dynamics. Unexpected weather forecasts could also shift the odds, particularly if they favor one team's playing style. News reports about team morale, practice performance, or even player off-field issues could all contribute to fluctuations in the market. Monitoring these signals can help you assess potential trading opportunities.