TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 12:31 AM EST
Kalshi
Two ice hockey teams will compete where the difference in their scores determines if one team wins by a margin greater than specified values. The outcome hinges purely on the goal differential between the two sides.
Markets resolve based on whether Minnesota or Vancouver wins the Oct 25, 2026 NHL game by over specified goal margins (1.5 or 2.5 goals). If postponed within 48 hours, markets remain open and resolve with the official result. Cancellations or delays beyond 48 hours result in fair price resolution.
Generally, prediction markets and sportsbooks often arrive at similar probabilities, but they do so through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own analysis and a desire to balance their risk, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see prediction market odds move more quickly in response to new information than sportsbook odds.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the Minnesota vs Vancouver game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the final spread will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution. The market’s resolution will reflect the official result of the game, as reported by authoritative sources.
Several factors could influence the Minnesota vs Vancouver spread between now and Oct 26, 2026. News regarding key player injuries on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team performance, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent game, could also shift the market. Even external factors, like weather conditions expected during the game, or significant shifts in public sentiment based on expert analysis, could cause traders to adjust their positions and move the market. Any new information relevant to the game’s outcome has the potential to affect trading activity.