TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:06h:38m
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This event tracks the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between Minnesota and San Jose. The result is determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. The event covers three possible outcomes based on which team wins or if the match ends in a draw.
The event resolves based on the result of the Minnesota vs San Jose professional MLS soccer game scheduled for November 7, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Minnesota wins the match within this timeframe, the 'Minnesota' market resolves to Yes. If San Jose wins under the same conditions, the 'San Jose' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The event specifically excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result after regular time including stoppage time.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be insightful, as both sources attempt to forecast the same outcome, but through different mechanisms.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Minnesota vs San Jose match, as determined by the governing sports organization. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligned with the final result. The platform will verify the outcome against widely available and trusted sources to ensure a fair and accurate settlement for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected developments related to the Minnesota vs San Jose match could significantly impact trader sentiment. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also drive price changes. Additionally, large volume trades on Kalshi can create short-term volatility, as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.