TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether both Minnesota and Saint Louis will score at least one goal in their upcoming MLS match. The outcome hinges exclusively on whether each team manages to find the back of the net during the standard 90 minutes and any stoppage time added by the referee.
If Minnesota and Saint Louis both score a goal in the Minnesota vs Saint Louis MLS match originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates opinions from many individuals. It’s common to see differences emerge, particularly as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Minnesota vs Saint Louis match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe both teams will score, the 'Yes' contract price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing opinions.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Minnesota and Saint Louis score at least one goal during the scheduled match. The official result of the game, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will determine whether the 'Yes' or 'No' outcome prevails. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the outcome is verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either Minnesota or Saint Louis could significantly shift expectations regarding scoring potential. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, might also affect the likelihood of goals being scored. Unexpected team news, like a change in formation or starting lineup, could also cause the market to react. Finally, any significant news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role in shaping trader sentiment.