TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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Sports
Minnesota vs. Penn State
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Minnesota vs. Penn State?

Total volume:
$586
Volume 24h:
$280
1,105%
Liquidity:
$64
0%
Open interest:
$490
109%

Penn St.

 - Kalshi

Penn St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 14, 2026

Time left: 11d:20h:10m

Penn St. wins

58%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 75¢ buys you 133 shares | Odds: 58% Total Payout: $133 | Net Profit: $33 Multiplier: 1.33x | ROI: 33% APY not meaningful 11 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Penn St.

Trade
58%
2%
Yes 75¢No 34¢
9¢
N/A
$6
176%
N/A
$6
1w 4d 20h
Active
kalshi

Minnesota

32%
26%
Yes 32¢No 74¢
6¢
N/A
$580
91%
N/A
$484
1w 4d 20h
Active
polymarket

Minnesota vs. Penn State

50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 15h
Active
polymarket

Spread -20.5

50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 15h
Active
polymarket

Spread -17.5

50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 15h
Active
polymarket

Spread -16.5

50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 15h
Active
polymarket

Spread -14.5

50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 15h
Active
polymarket

Spread -13.5

50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 15h
Active
polymarket

Spread -10.5

50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 15h
Active
polymarket

Spread -8.5

50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 15h
Active
polymarket

Spread -7.5

50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 15h
Active
polymarket

Spread -6.5

50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 15h
Active
polymarket

Spread -5.5

50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 15h
Active
polymarket

Spread -4.5

50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 15h
Active
polymarket

Spread -3.5

50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 15h
Active
polymarket

Spread -2.5

50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 15h
Active
polymarket

Spread -1.5

50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 15h
Active
polymarket

Spread -0.5

50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 15h
Active
polymarket

Spread -0.5

50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 15h
Active
polymarket

Spread -1.5

50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 15h
Active
polymarket

Spread -2.5

50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 15h
Active
polymarket

Spread -3.5

50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 15h
Active
polymarket

Spread -4.5

50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 15h
Active
polymarket

Spread -5.5

50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 15h
Active
polymarket

Spread -6.5

50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 15h
Active
Total markets: 25 of 106

Description

This group covers various markets related to the November 14, 2026 college football game between Minnesota and Penn State. Markets include the winner of the game, point spreads, and over/under totals for points scored by both teams and in specific quarters, as well as team totals. The markets are based on the official outcome of the game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly handles ties with a 50-50 resolution, while Kalshi does not specify tie resolution, creating ambiguity.Hero tip: Favor Polymarket markets due to their explicit tie-breaking rule. Be cautious with Kalshi markets, as a tie could lead to resolution disputes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'Minnesota' if Minnesota wins, 'Penn State' if Penn State wins, and 50-50 if the game ends in a tie. Source: https://www.ncaa.com/
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Penn State or Minnesota wins. No tie resolution is specified. Source: Not explicitly stated.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Minnesota and Penn State, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Minnesota" if Minnesota win the game. This market will resolve to "Penn State" if Penn State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the Minnesota vs Penn St. college football game scheduled for November 14, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves per the official final result. Cancellations or failures to start within 48 hours result in a fair price. Kalshi clarifies it is not officially connected with the NCAA, and all trademarks are property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the Minnesota vs. Penn State game from multiple platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. Currently, total volume across these platforms is $586, with $280 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard provides a consensus view of the probabilities for various outcomes, allowing you to see where the crowd currently believes the game is headed. Polymarket currently favors Spread: Penn State (-14.5) at 100.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Penn St. wins at 58.0%.

Prediction market odds, like those found on this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. The efficiency of this market means odds can change rapidly as new information becomes available, potentially offering value compared to fixed sportsbook lines.

On Polymarket, traders set the odds by directly bidding on outcomes, while Kalshi uses a different mechanism. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This difference in market mechanics can contribute to price divergence. Additionally, each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. The volume of trading on each platform also plays a role; lower volume can lead to greater price volatility and wider spreads. Finally, differing opinions on the significance of recent news or team performance can cause traders on each platform to value outcomes differently, resulting in price discrepancies.

This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Minnesota vs. Penn State game. The winning outcome will be determined by the final score, as reported by official sources. This market provides a way to forecast the result of the game and profit from accurate predictions, but the final outcome is determined by the actual game result and verified against credible public sources.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any major news regarding injuries to key players on either the Minnesota or Penn State teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also influence predictions. Significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by media coverage or expert analysis, could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking information about team strategies or coaching decisions could lead to traders adjusting their positions and altering the probabilities reflected in this market.