TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Minnesota vs New Orleans: Winning Margin
kalshi

What is the result of Minnesota vs New Orleans?

Volume:
$15,215

Minnesota by 7 to 14

 - Kalshi

Minnesota by 7 to 14 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 3:57 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Minnesota by 7 to 14

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,650
N/A
N/A
$2,386
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,659
N/A
N/A
$2,659
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota by 15 or more

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,618
N/A
N/A
$2,486
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota by 1 to 6

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,580
N/A
N/A
$2,310
Settled
No
kalshi

New Orleans by 1 to 6

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,958
N/A
N/A
$1,662
Settled
No
kalshi

New Orleans by 7 to 14

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,691
N/A
N/A
$1,567
Settled
No
kalshi

New Orleans by 15 or more

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,059
N/A
N/A
$1,010
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This set of markets tracks the outcome of a professional football game between Minnesota and New Orleans, focusing specifically on the margin of victory. Each market corresponds to a different range of points by which either team could win. The resolution depends entirely on the final score of the game, including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the point differential between New Orleans and Minnesota in their full game, including overtime, scheduled for October 11, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the point differential falls within the specified range for each respective market: exactly 0 points, between 1 and 6 points, between 7 and 14 points, or 15 or more points in favor of either team. All markets operate independently, meaning each evaluates its own criteria without affecting the others. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to attract balanced betting and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes move closer to prediction market prices as the event approaches, especially if sportsbooks react to public betting patterns. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly early on, as this market incorporates information and analysis from a diverse range of participants.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different winning margins. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. When more people buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct and lose if they are wrong. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to converge towards the true probability of each outcome.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final winning margin of the Minnesota versus New Orleans game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by the official game statistics, and the market will settle to 100 for the winning margin that corresponds to the actual result. Traders who correctly predicted the winning margin will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution. It's important to monitor the game’s progress as it nears the resolution date.

Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, such as the quarterback or star wide receiver, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, any updates on team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can cause rapid price fluctuations, reflecting a sudden shift in market perception.