TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:23 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track specific player performance thresholds in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether certain athletes achieve particular rushing yard milestones. Each threshold represents a different level of performance, allowing participants to bet on varying degrees of success. The outcomes are determined solely by the players' rushing yard statistics at the end of the game.
All markets resolve based on the rushing yards accumulated by specified players during the Minnesota vs New Orleans professional football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. For each market, if the named player records the stated minimum rushing yards or more, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A player must take at least one snap for the market to be settled based on performance. If a player is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Penalties that nullify a snap do not affect settlement, as long as the snap was taken. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially be more influenced by expert opinions, this market can quickly incorporate a wider range of factors and adjust accordingly, potentially leading to more accurate predictions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total rushing yards. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective intelligence of those trading on the platform. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism for the event.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total rushing yards from the Minnesota vs. New Orleans game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final tally will be sourced from official NFL statistics and will determine which contracts pay out. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts shortly after the game concludes and the official statistics are released. The resolution process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be significant, as would any changes in weather forecasts that might affect the running game. News regarding coaching strategies or expected game plans could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any late-breaking information about player availability or team dynamics could lead to substantial price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on opportunities before this market resolves.