TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Minnesota and New Orleans, focusing on their receiving yards. Participants can bet on how many yards each player will accumulate, with payouts increasing as yardage milestones are met or exceeded.
The event consists of three separate markets, each tied to a different player’s receiving yards in the Minnesota vs New Orleans Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. For each market, Yes contracts pay according to a tiered schedule based on the player’s total receiving yards, with payouts increasing incrementally for every 10-yard increment up to a maximum of $1.00 for 200 or more yards. The payout formula uses a cubic scaling function to determine the precise Yes payout, capped at $1.00. No contracts pay the difference between $1.00 and the Yes payout. If a player records negative receiving yards, the Yes payout is $0.00. Each market resolves to Yes once the game’s official statistics are finalized. The structure ensures that payouts reflect both the magnitude and progression of yardage achieved by each specified player.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professionals. Sportsbooks typically incorporate their own margins and may be influenced by public betting patterns. This market, however, is driven by individuals making independent assessments of the likely outcome. While sportsbook odds represent a single point of view, the price on Kalshi represents an aggregated forecast. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yardage totals, and the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people believe the total receiving yards will be higher, the price of contracts representing higher totals will increase, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the probability that the actual total receiving yards will exceed the contract's specified amount. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the game approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final receiving yardage totals for both the Minnesota Vikings and the New Orleans Saints are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NFL statistics will be used to determine the total combined receiving yards. The market will settle to 100 if the actual total exceeds the highest contract level, or 0 if it falls below the lowest. All contracts will be settled based on this verified total, reflecting the collective prediction made by traders on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Injury reports for key wide receivers on either team would be significant, as would any changes to the projected weather conditions for the game. Unexpected news regarding quarterback performance or changes in defensive strategies could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any late-breaking information about player availability or team tactics could lead to shifts in the market price. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 11, 2026.