TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific player performance thresholds in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether certain athletes achieve designated receiving yard milestones. The outcomes depend purely on the players' statistical accomplishments during the match, reflecting individual contributions to the game.
All markets refer to designated players in the Minnesota vs New Orleans Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. Each market resolves to Yes if the specified player records the stated receiving yard threshold (e.g., 15+, 25+, etc.) during the game. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before kickoff. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles based strictly on the receiving yards they record during active play. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation regardless of yardage threshold.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases or initial line settings. Sportsbooks may also adjust their odds more slowly to news and information than this market, where traders can react in real-time. While direct comparisons can vary, it’s common to see prediction markets offer insights that diverge from traditional sports betting lines, especially as new information becomes available closer to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. Traders are essentially betting on whether the actual receiving yards will fall above or below the price point of the contract they purchase.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yard totals for the players in the Minnesota vs New Orleans game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yardage, as reported by official NFL statistics, will determine which contracts pay out. Traders will be able to see the final result and any applicable payouts on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and official data release.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers on both teams are primary catalysts; news of a star player being sidelined would likely shift the odds. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be unfavorable for passing, could also influence trading activity. Late-breaking news regarding player matchups or coaching strategies could also move the market, as traders adjust their expectations based on new information. Any significant changes to the game’s narrative will likely be reflected in the price of contracts.