TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:45 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of specific quarterbacks in a football game, focusing on how many passing touchdowns they achieve. The outcomes depend entirely on the players' ability to score through aerial plays during the match.
All markets resolve based on the number of passing touchdowns recorded by the specified quarterback in the Minnesota vs New Orleans Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If the quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual passing touchdowns recorded during the game. Each market has a different threshold for resolution (e.g., 1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+ touchdowns), meaning the market closes as 'Yes' only if the player meets or exceeds that specific threshold. The markets are independent of official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than a sportsbook suggests, the price of that outcome will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of trading volume occurs, as the market discovers its own fair price.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of each possible number of passing touchdowns. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand for each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final number of passing touchdowns scored in the Minnesota vs New Orleans game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be the basis for the resolution. Traders will be able to see the confirmed outcome and any resulting payouts on Kalshi following the game’s conclusion.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also shift the market. Unexpected reports about team strategies or play-calling tendencies, or even late-breaking news about player availability, could all impact trader sentiment and lead to price fluctuations in this market.