TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event evaluates individual player and team defensive performance in a specific football game, focusing on whether designated participants exceed predetermined fantasy point thresholds. The outcomes are determined by standardized fantasy scoring rules applied to statistical contributions during the match.
All markets resolve based on Sleeper’s default full-PPR fantasy scoring system applied to the Minnesota vs New Orleans Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, including overtime. Each market specifies a player or team unit (D/ST) and a numeric threshold; if the participant’s cumulative fantasy points surpass the stated value, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. Players not participating or未被Sleeper分配幻想积分值将计为0分。所有幻想积分都使用Sleeper在到期日发布的总和,无需额外四舍五入,且到期日后对积分的修正不计入。得分方式包括传球、冲刺、接球、踢球以及防守和特殊队伍的贡献,每项有具体的积分规则,例如传球码数每25码+1分、接球码数每10码+1分、达阵+4或+6分等。防守队伍根据允许的对手得分获得积分,例如允许0分可获得+10分。所有市场均使用相同的计分标准,且Kalshi与管辖联赛无任何官方关联。
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price of contracts representing that outcome will rise, potentially offering better value than available at a sportsbook. However, it's important to note that both represent probabilities and can be influenced by various factors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of the corresponding outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting a higher total fantasy points score, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence price discovery, and the current price reflects the collective expectation of all participants regarding the total fantasy points in the Minnesota vs New Orleans game.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final fantasy points total for both the Minnesota and New Orleans teams, as officially recorded by a major sports data provider, will determine the outcome. Contracts will pay out $1.00 for each dollar wagered if the total fantasy points fall within the range represented by the contract purchased, and $0.00 otherwise. The resolution process ensures an objective and transparent determination of the result.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or changes to starting lineups for either the Minnesota or New Orleans teams would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected weather conditions that could affect the game's scoring environment could also impact predictions. Furthermore, any major shifts in public sentiment or analysis regarding the teams' offensive capabilities could lead traders to adjust their positions, causing the market price to fluctuate until the game concludes.