TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 10:31 PM EST
Kalshi
For the Minnesota vs Kansas City MLS encounter scheduled for October 28, 2026, observers will note if both sides convert chances into goals before the final whistle of regular time plus stoppage minutes.
If Minnesota and Kansas City both score a goal in the Minnesota vs Kansas City MLS match originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk management, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. While sportsbooks may initially have different odds, they often adjust based on betting patterns, potentially converging with the prediction market price as the event approaches. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as prediction markets can incorporate information not immediately reflected in sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction format, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, reflecting the aggregated predictions of all participants. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of the likelihood of both teams finding the back of the net.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Minnesota and Kansas City score at least one goal during the match. Official match results will be used to determine if both teams scored, and this information will be verified against credible public sources. The final price on Kalshi at the time of resolution will determine the payout for those who held contracts.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key offensive players on either team would be significant, as would any changes in team form or tactical approaches. Unexpected weather conditions on game day could also play a role, potentially impacting the likelihood of goals. News regarding suspensions or changes in the starting lineups could also cause shifts in trader sentiment. Additionally, any major upsets in other matches involving these teams leading up to the event could influence perceptions and move the market.