TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 10:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between Minnesota and Kansas City. The result is determined solely by the standing after the full 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The market accounts for potential game disruptions by allowing for fair resolution if the match is canceled or significantly rescheduled.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Minnesota vs Kansas City professional MLS soccer game scheduled for October 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for Minnesota, Kansas City, or Tie markets occurs if the respective team wins or the match ends level within regulation time. If the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each venue. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as public sentiment shifts regarding the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises the price, while increased selling pressure lowers it. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Minnesota vs Kansas City game in the NFL Divisional Round. The final score and winner will be verified against trusted sports news sources and official league data. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key players on either team, changes in weather forecasts for the game location, or even significant shifts in public perception – perhaps driven by expert analysis – could all cause price fluctuations. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades from individual participants or institutions could create short-term price movements in this market.