TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:09 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how many points each team will score in an upcoming college football game. Outcomes depend on whether a team's total points exceed specific thresholds set for each market.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals from the Minnesota vs Indiana college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. For any market, if the designated team scores more points than the specified threshold (e.g., Indiana over 9.5 points), that market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, meaning payouts are adjusted to reflect the likelihood of outcomes based on available information up to that point. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing a team's total, the prediction market may move in the opposite direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market, as information and opinions evolve.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis, news, and expectations, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. This means the odds are constantly updating as new information becomes available and traders react to it.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Minnesota and Indiana will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will then determine which contracts correspond to the actual team totals achieved during the game. It’s important to note that the resolution is based on official results and not on any subjective interpretation of the game.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either Minnesota or Indiana would likely cause movement. Unexpected weather conditions, particularly if they affect the style of play, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, and even significant shifts in public perception based on expert analysis, can all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.