TOTAL VOLUME:
$155b
24H VOL:
$281,012,624
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,001,463,625
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,948,184,939
411,211
Markets across
39,745
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,440
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Indiana will win their college football game against Minnesota by more than 6.5 points. Currently, the probability of Indiana winning by over 6.5 points on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Minnesota vs Indiana college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if Indiana wins by more than 35.5 points, with final settlement expected around November 1, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential from the Minnesota vs Indiana college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. If Indiana wins by exceeding the specified point margin defined in each individual market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A separate market checks if Minnesota wins by more than 1.5 points. For any postponed games that commence within 48 hours of the original schedule, all markets remain active and resolve according to the updated final result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point threshold they selected.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the probability of different outcomes. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, attracting traders who aim to profit from the difference. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available and public sentiment shifts.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Minnesota vs Indiana game, as reported by a major sports data provider, will determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the actual spread will settle at 100, while those predicting a different spread will settle at 0. Traders should monitor official results to understand the final outcome and their contract positions.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Minnesota or Indiana teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected team performance in preceding games could also shift trader sentiment. Public perception, influenced by expert analysis and media coverage, plays a role as well. Even late-breaking weather forecasts, if they impact playing conditions, could move the market as traders adjust their expectations for the game’s final outcome.