TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:38 PM EST
Polymarket
Exact margin markets for Minnesota vs. Indiana.
Exact margin markets for Minnesota vs. Indiana.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different possible margin outcomes. The price of each share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular margin is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will climb. This creates a dynamic pricing system driven by supply and demand, and traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions to profit from correctly assessed probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point differential of the Minnesota-Indiana game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact margin of victory will be used to determine which shares pay out, and the resolution will be based on official game statistics. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is officially confirmed and reported, and the platform finalizes the settlement process. This ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence the price action in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Minnesota or Indiana teams would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Unexpected changes in coaching strategies or team performance during other games could also impact the market. Furthermore, significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before Oct 31, 2026.