TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on the final quarter performance of a college football game between Minnesota and Indiana. Each market evaluates different point differentials to determine the outcome based solely on scoring in the 4th quarter, excluding any overtime periods.
These markets resolve based on the point differential in the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Minnesota vs Indiana college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold for the winning team to exceed—for Indiana, thresholds range from 2.5 to 10.5 points, and for Minnesota, from 2.5 to 10.5 points. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored during the 4th quarter count toward these outcomes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives not fully captured by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those offered by sportsbooks. These differences can arise from unique insights held by market participants or differing interpretations of available information. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the 4th quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders believe a particular spread is likely, the price of contracts representing that spread will increase. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adjust to new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the participants trading the Minnesota vs Indiana spread.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the 4th quarter of the Minnesota vs Indiana game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the winning spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing spreads will forfeit their investment. The exact payout will depend on the final spread and the price of the contracts at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the Minnesota vs Indiana spread between now and game day. News regarding player injuries to key players on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team strategy or coaching decisions could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected news about weather conditions expected during the game might also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking information about team morale or internal conflicts could also influence trading activity in this market, as traders adjust their expectations based on the latest developments.