TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Indiana will win the college football game against Minnesota. Currently, Kalshi gives Indiana a 73.0% probability of winning, while Minnesota is at 27.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Minnesota vs Indiana college football game originally scheduled for October 30, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep an eye on October 30, 2026, as the result of this game will determine the market’s resolution.
The market resolves based on the outcome of the Minnesota vs Indiana college football game scheduled for October 30, 2026. If Indiana wins, the 'Indiana' market resolves to Yes; if Minnesota wins, the 'Minnesota' market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market relies on individuals freely trading based on their beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there's strong public sentiment or information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than traditional betting markets, offering a potentially more dynamic assessment of probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity determine the liquidity and efficiency of price discovery. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the outcome of the Minnesota vs Indiana game.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Minnesota vs Indiana game, as reported by a widely recognized sports data source. The specific details of the game's final score will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other games involving either team could also impact perceptions of their relative strength. Furthermore, public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can play a role, though the market isn’t necessarily correlated with these external sources. Unexpected announcements related to the game's scheduling or location could also cause price fluctuations.