TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second quarter of a college football game between Minnesota and Indiana. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold, allowing participants to bet on whether the winning team will exceed that margin during that specific quarter.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the second quarter of the Minnesota vs Indiana college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. For each market, if the specified team wins the quarter by more than the stated point margin, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward the resolution. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many individuals. It’s common to see initial discrepancies between the two, as sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns or promotional considerations. Over time, the prediction market price tends to converge with sportsbook lines as more information becomes available and traders refine their assessments of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread in the second quarter of the Minnesota vs Indiana game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Specifically, the market will settle based on the official result reported by the governing sports league, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payouts on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Minnesota or Indiana teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team strategy or starting lineups could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, real-time performance during the first quarter of the game, or even pre-game analysis from respected sports analysts, could shift expectations and drive price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions, if applicable, could also play a role in influencing this market.