TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks various thresholds of points scored by both teams combined in the first quarter of a college football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity that bettors can wager on, allowing them to assess the likelihood of high or low scoring starts to the game.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the first quarter of the Minnesota vs Indiana college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific numerical threshold; if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the actual first-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Only points scored during the first quarter count toward resolution, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, emphasizing that all trademarks and logos belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to take a position, and the price adjusts as more information and opinions are incorporated. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s initial line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move to reflect that collective view. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds over time.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Minnesota vs Indiana 1st quarter. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the true probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price can fluctuate rapidly based on news, injuries, or even large trading volume, providing opportunities for informed traders to profit from perceived mispricings.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the first quarter of the Minnesota vs Indiana game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine whether the ‘over’ or ‘under’ contracts pay out. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout based on the final price of their contracts at resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources as the game progresses to understand how the outcome is unfolding.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Minnesota or Indiana teams would likely cause a price shift. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they affect scoring, could also move the market. Unexpected pre-game announcements about starting lineups or coaching strategies could also influence trading activity. Even significant betting patterns observed in traditional sportsbooks might prompt traders on Kalshi to reassess their positions, leading to price adjustments.