TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Minnesota vs Florida: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Minnesota vs Florida?

Volume:
$62,409

Minnesota wins by over 2.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 2.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 9:28 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 2.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$27,288
N/A
N/A
$11,553
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,557
N/A
N/A
$8,215
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Florida wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,152
N/A
N/A
$9,362
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 3.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,264
N/A
N/A
$1,912
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 4.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,176
N/A
N/A
$2,093
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$814
N/A
N/A
$813
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida wins by over 4.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$799
N/A
N/A
$799
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida wins by over 3.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$359
N/A
N/A
$359
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This market assesses the outcome of an NHL hockey game between Minnesota and Florida, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It determines whether the winning team secures a decisive lead, measured by specific goal differentials. The resolution hinges on the official game result, accounting for potential scheduling changes.

Kalshi

The event consists of four markets, each evaluating different goal-differential thresholds for either Minnesota or Florida to win by. If Florida wins by more than 2.5 goals, the first market resolves to Yes; if they win by more than 1.5 goals, the second market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Minnesota wins by more than 1.5 goals, the third market resolves to Yes, and if they win by more than 2.5 goals, the fourth market resolves to Yes. All markets share a common secondary rule: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies. However, if the game is cancelled or does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold being wagered on.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Minnesota vs Florida spread tracks the current implied probability of various outcomes, the price of contracts representing those outcomes, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the market is currently valuing each side of the spread, as well as historical price movements. The total volume traded on this market is currently $62,409, with $55,877 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and track how it changes leading up to the event.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and beliefs. This often leads to prediction markets being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies can present trading opportunities.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Minnesota vs Florida spread. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event's potential results. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the game between Minnesota and Florida, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. It's important to monitor news and updates leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any factors that could influence the outcome.

Several factors could influence the Minnesota vs Florida spread market. Key injuries to star players on either team would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected changes in coaching strategies or team performance during other games could also shift market sentiment. News regarding weather conditions, which could impact the style of play, might also play a role. Finally, any significant public information, such as expert analysis or large bets placed on Kalshi, could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.