TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 11:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming NHL hockey game between Minnesota and Edmonton. It focuses on whether either team will secure a decisive win by a specified number of goals. The outcome hinges on the actual game result and the goal differential.
The market evaluates various goal-differential scenarios for the Minnesota vs Edmonton NHL game scheduled for October 20, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are considered, each tied to a specific margin of victory: Edmonton winning by more than 2.5 goals, Edmonton winning by more than 1.5 goals, Minnesota winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Minnesota winning by more than 2.5 goals. If any of these conditions are met as defined, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome conditions.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market represents what traders collectively believe will happen. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or as the event draws closer. Observing these differences can provide valuable insights for informed betting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Minnesota versus Edmonton spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are those who correctly anticipate market movements. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants, offering a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final point spread of the Minnesota versus Edmonton game, as determined by official game statistics. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their contract values at that time. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches, as any late-breaking news or developments could impact the final outcome and market settlement.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Key player injuries or unexpected lineup changes for either the Minnesota or Edmonton teams would likely cause significant movement. News regarding team performance, coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or expert analysis, may also play a role. Any developments that alter the perceived probability of either team covering the spread have the potential to move the market, creating opportunities for traders to adjust their positions.