TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional football game between Minnesota and Detroit, focusing specifically on the margin of victory. It covers various possible score differences that determine the result, reflecting how decisively one team might win or if the game ends in a tie.
The event determines its outcome based on the point differential between Minnesota and Detroit in their Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. If the game ends in a tie (exactly 0 points differential), it resolves to Yes for the 'Tie' market. For markets specifying Detroit's victory margin, any positive point differential for Detroit between 1 to 6 points resolves the 'Detroit by 1 to 6' market to Yes; between 7 to 14 points resolves the 'Detroit by 7 to 14' market; and 15 or more points resolves the 'Detroit by 15 or more' market. Conversely, if Minnesota wins by between 1 to 6 points, the 'Minnesota by 1 to 6' market resolves to Yes; by 7 to 14 points resolves the 'Minnesota by 7 to 14' market; and by 15 or more points resolves the 'Minnesota by 15 or more' market. All markets share the same underlying game and point differential criteria, with each market addressing a specific range of score differences. The secondary rules clarify that the platform is not officially affiliated with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by supply and demand from traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that prediction market traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, but differences can still emerge.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final winning margin of the Minnesota versus Detroit game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the NFL. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct winning margin will receive a payout of 100, while those holding contracts on incorrect margins will receive nothing. The market will then be considered settled and closed for trading.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected developments in team performance during upcoming games leading up to the event could also have a substantial impact. Furthermore, large-volume trades by individual participants or groups could temporarily move the price, reflecting a strong conviction about a particular outcome. Monitoring these signals is crucial for understanding potential price movements.