TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players or teams score a certain number of touchdowns in an upcoming football game. Each market focuses on different players or the defensive teams, examining their performance in terms of scoring touchdowns during the full game, including any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based on whether designated players or teams record the specified number of touchdowns in the full game, including overtime. Each contract is protected: if a player participates in the first half but not afterward, the contract resolves to the pre-game fair price unless the required touchdowns are scored. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. Passing touchdowns do not count toward the passer's total, and team defense/special-teams selections settle on actual touchdowns without applying the player participation exception. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows participants to express their own beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. Comparing this market to sportsbook lines can provide a broader perspective on the potential result of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and generate a forecast.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of touchdowns scored in the Minnesota vs Detroit game, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning contracts. This resolution process ensures transparency and accuracy in determining the outcome of this market. The platform will verify the result against official sources to settle all outstanding contracts.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Minnesota or Detroit teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable or unfavorable for passing, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift market sentiment. Public perception, influenced by expert analysis and media coverage, can also play a role in driving price fluctuations.