TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:07 PM EST
Kalshi
The event concerns a professional football game between two teams scheduled for a specific date. The outcome of interest is whether the game concludes without a winner. The focus is on determining if the game ends in a tie.
If neither team wins and the game ends in a tie in the Minnesota vs Detroit Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of people believe a tie is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price of a 'tie' contract will rise, indicating a higher implied probability. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk appetites between market participants and sportsbook operators.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a tie in the Minnesota vs Detroit game. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, where a price of 50 represents a 50% implied probability. As more people buy contracts predicting a tie, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to reflect the collective beliefs of all participants, creating a real-time assessment of the likelihood of the outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Minnesota vs Detroit game, specifically whether the game ends in a tie. The platform will utilize publicly available sources to determine the final score and confirm if a tie occurred. Traders holding contracts predicting a tie will receive a payout if the game ends in a tie, and those holding contracts predicting any other outcome will not.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Unexpected news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all shift perceptions of the game's likely outcome. Major news events or public statements from key figures associated with either team could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could draw attention to this market and potentially influence price movements as traders adjust their positions based on broader market sentiment.