TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks offensive performance thresholds in an upcoming football game between Minnesota and Detroit. It evaluates whether either team surpasses specific yardage milestones during their offensive drives. The outcome depends purely on the game's statistical results.
All markets resolve based on the total offensive yards accumulated by either Minnesota or Detroit in their Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific yardage threshold (250+, 300+, 350+, 400+, or 450+) for either team. If the named team achieves or exceeds its respective threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Postponements are handled as follows: if the game starts within 48 hours of its original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing uncertainties.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the outcome, leading to potentially different probabilities. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast events, especially when there's significant public information available and a diverse range of participants contributing to the pricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage totals. The price of each contract indicates the probability of the total yardage falling within that range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. The market’s price movements are driven by new information, analysis, and shifts in sentiment about the Vikings and Lions’ offensive capabilities, creating a dynamic and responsive indicator of likely outcomes.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total combined yardage for the Minnesota Vikings and Detroit Lions game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final yardage total, as recorded by official NFL statistics, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key offensive players on either the Vikings or the Lions would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if a storm is predicted, could also shift expectations about passing or rushing yardage. Late-breaking news regarding coaching strategies or defensive adjustments could also impact the market. Finally, any significant analysis released by sports analysts or updated power rankings could influence trader sentiment and move the price of contracts in this market.